Showing posts with label alena leonova. Show all posts
Showing posts with label alena leonova. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

2014 SKATE CANADA: Ladies Preview

Much like the mens event, there are no clear favorites here in the ladies event at Skate Canada. About five different ladies could win this event, so it will be fun to watch. I have a feeling someone is going to even bomb the short program and come back with a strong free to medal. Anything can happen when there isn't a true headliner.

My Podium Predictions:
Gold: Anna Pogorilaya (RUS)
Silver: Ashley "Diva" Wagner (USA)
Bronze: Satoko Miyahara (JPN)

Anna Pogorilaya (RUS) is another in a long line of up and coming young Russian Divas. Girlfriend surprised us all by finishing fourth at Worlds in 2014 post-Sochi. She has been overshadowed by Sotnikova, Tuktamysheva, and Radionova in recent years, but she seems poised to make a name for herself and break out here.

Ashley Wagner (USA) is entering a crucial season. She will have to fight all of the critics that say she is too old, as well as all the young skaters who very well may prove she is too old. I question her decision to do the Moulin Rouge free skate, because I don't think it helps to fix her image. However, this might be her way of saying screw the skating establishment, I'm doing what ever I want. She tends to peak early in the season, so I don't see her leaving Canada without a medal of some color. She needs to make a strong showing to prove to USFS that she is worth investing in with another trip to Worlds.

Satoko  Miyahara (JPN) has a huge role to fill with Mao Asada moving on. The classic Japanese ladies have all gone, and they are waiting for their next champion to emerge. Satoko was a junior circuit star, but she never won a junior World medal. She peaks early in the season so I see her putting up a strong fight here. She won the Gardenia Trophy and the Lombardia Trophy here, so she shouldn't be rusty at all.

The Rest of the Field:
Brooklee Han (AUS)-14th at 2014 Four Continents, 20th at 2014 Olympics, 19th at 2014 Worlds, 4th at 2014 Nebelhorn Trophy, 10th at 2014 Skate America
Alaine Chartrand (CAN)-5th at 2014 World Juniors, 7th at 2014 Four Continents, 4th at 2014 US International Classic
Veronik Mallet (CAN)-13th at 2014 Four Continents, 7th at 2014 Nebelhorn Trophy
Julianne Seguin (CAN)-3rd at 2014 Skate Canada Autumn Classic
Rika Hongo (JPN)-8th at 2014 Junior Worlds, 1st at 2014 Triglav Trophy, 1st at 2014 Asian Open, 3rd at 2014 Finlandia Trophy
Hae Jin Kim (KOR)-6th at 2014 Four Continents, 16th at 2014 Olympics, 23rd at 2014 Worlds, 5th at 2014 Asian Open, 9th at 2014 O. Nepela
Alena Leonova (RUS)-4th at 2014 Europeans, 2nd at 2014 Nebelhorn Trophy
Viktoria Helgesson (SWE)-14th at 2014 Europeans, 27th at 2014 Olympics, 2nd at 2014 Nordics, 8th at 2014 Lombardia, 4th at 2014 O. Nepela
Courtney Hicks (USA)-5th at 2014 Four Continents, 2nd at 2014 US International

Saturday, November 10, 2012

Rostelecom Cup: Ladies Free Skate LIVE BLOG

Pl.NameNationPointsSPFS
1Kiira KORPI
FIN
177.1921
2Gracie GOLD
USA
175.0312
3Agnes ZAWADZKI
USA
166.6134
4Kanako MURAKAMI
JPN
166.3463
5Adelina SOTNIKOVA
RUS
157.9857
6Alena LEONOVA
RUS
157.2748
7Polina KOROBEYNIKOVA
RUS
153.3286
8Viktoria HELGESSON
SWE
151.4879
9Valentina MARCHEI
ITA
148.6795
10Caroline ZHANG
USA
138.211010

  Pl.  NameNationTSS
=
TES
+
 PCS
+
SSTRPECHINDed.
-
StN.
1Kiira KORPIFIN115.6456.12 60.527.687.077.617.717.751.00#9
2Gracie GOLDUSA112.8754.77 58.107.546.937.327.397.140.00#10
3Kanako MURAKAMIJPN109.5653.22 56.347.326.466.967.297.180.00#5
4Agnes ZAWADZKIUSA106.4351.10 55.336.936.617.047.186.820.00#8
5Valentina MARCHEIITA102.4250.88 51.546.295.826.716.716.680.00#2
6Polina KOROBEYNIKOVARUS101.8752.45 50.426.685.866.296.616.071.00#3
7Adelina SOTNIKOVARUS100.8748.28 55.597.146.506.797.257.073.00#6
8Alena LEONOVARUS98.4241.17 57.257.396.716.867.507.320.00#7
9Viktoria HELGESSONSWE97.3843.60 53.786.756.466.796.936.680.00#4
10Caroline ZHANGUSA92.0648.57 43.495.934.935.295.715.320.00#1


1) Caroline Zhang (USA)
  Music: Nessun Dorma
  • I love that deep color on her
  • What I'd really like to see on her jumps is a nice, long glide out of the jump
  • The jumps are looking especially small today
  • I feel like she normally has more extension in the spiral than she does today
  • I love that ending-how she just comes straight out of the spin and finishes, nothing fancy about it
  • 48.57 (TES) + 43.49 (PCS) = 92.06
  • 46.15 (SP) + 92.06 (FS) = 138.21
2) Valentina Marchei (ITA)
  Music: The Artist
  • I'm sorry I didn't get to watch you Valentina, i was switching feeds
  • But you look happy coming off the ice!
  • 50.88 (TES) + 51.54 (PCS) = 102.42
  • 46.25 (SP) + 102.42 (FS) = 148.67
3) Polina Korobeynikova (RUS)
  Music: Swan Lake
  • Very clean jumping, fast rotation
  • This costume is a choice
  • This program looks very calculated
  • She is ticking off the elements, but where is the performance?
  • Girl-Please give us some face!
  • Oh no, a fall on the final jump on the most dramatic piece of the music, not a good picture ot leave in the judges' minds
  • This program is looking very labored, there's just no fire in her belly
  • 52.45 (TES) + 50/42 (PCS) -1.00 (DED) = 101.87
  • 51.45 (SP) + 101.87 (FS) = 153.32
4) Viktoria Helgesson (SWE)
  Music: Spellbound Concerto
  • This costume is perfection, I love how white goes into ice blue
  • This is how a woman skates, not a little pixie girl
  • I feel like there is a lot of fluff in this program-too many simple crossovers and long approaches to jumps
  • A lot of these jumps look UR and a lot of turns out of the landings
  • This program was easy on the eyes, but there also was no excitement either
  • 43.60(TES) + 53.78 (PCS) = 97.38
  • 54.10 (SP) + 97.38 (FS) = 151.48
5) Kanako Murakami (JPN)
  Music: Oblivion & Fuego Lento
  • Aww look at our little girl, she's growing up!
  • There's not a lot of drama in this music
  • This music might still be a little sophisticated for her, it's subdued and you really need to work to bring out the accents
  • She'll be hit with some underrotations on her TES mark
  • Something was off with that 2A combo
  • 53.22 (TES) + 56.34 (PCS) = 109.56
  • 56.78 (SP) + 109.56 (FS) = 166.34
6) Adelina Sotnikova (RUS)
  Music: Burlesque
  • For a girl who has the potential to be a World Champion, this is not a World Champ program
  • I do like the skirt of this costume
  • I love her jumping, nice quick rotation
  • Why did Tarasova choreograph this mess?
  • Oh no, 2 falls in a row; this piece is going nowhere fast
  • I hate when good skaters sell themselves short with garbage programs
  • I've heard enough riffing for the day now
  • 48.28(TES) + 55.59 (PCS) -3.00 (DED) = 100.87
  • 57.11 (SP) + 157.98 (FS) = 157.98
7) Alena Leonova (RUS)
  Music: Poeta en la Mar
  • This feed keeps sticking, so who knows what happened in the 1st minute
  • This step sequence is strange, it's like she's trying to give us sassy face, but she's looking down toward the ice-it's odd
  • This is a poor choice of music for her style
  • This is so flat for me, she doesn't look like she wants to be there
  • This piece of music sounds frantic, but the skating is slow; it's been an odd 4 minutes for me
  • 41.17 (TES) + 57.25 (PCS) = 98.42
  • 58.85 (SP) + 98.42 (FS) = 157.27
8) Agnes Zawadzki (USA)
 Music: Rhapsody in Blue
  • Leaned way to the side, but clean 1st jump
  • She looks so strong; she is in such good shape
  • I love how expressive her upper body is
  • She has interesting choreography out of the jumps, she doesn't just hang out and wait to get back into the piece
  • I love her zippy, tight rotation
  • She is having an "on day" I can see that right now
  • This is a very mature program and well composed, I am happy she hung onto it
  • This is a wonderful program, but this is the best execution I've seen from her in so long
  • What a breath of fresh air to see somebody who wants to be on the podium
  • 51.10 (TES) + 55.33 (PCS) = 106.43
  • 60.18 (SP) + 106.43 (FS) = 166.61
9) Kiira Korpi (FIN)
  Music: Once Upon a Time in America
  • She is flawless
  • Some of these jumps are really telegraphed
  • Just when I was about to say that her jumps are crisp and clean today, she falls
  • 56.12 (TES) + 60.52 (PCS) -1.00 (DED) = 115.64
  • 61.55 (SP) + 155.64 (FS) = 177.19
10) Gracie Gold (USA)
  Music: Life is Beautiful
  • Gracie, please excite me because nobody else has today
  • Clean through the 1st minute, thank you feed for freezing
  • I have nothing else to say because me feed went out on me unfortunately
  • 54.77 (TES) + 58.10 (PCS) = 112.87
  • 62.16 (SP) + 112.87 (FS) = 175.03

Tuesday, November 6, 2012

Rostelecom Cup: Ladies Preview

This event is going to come down to who wants it the most. I can see this going so many different ways it's making my head spin. There are about 6 ladies that could win this thing, so let's get started. I'll be live blogging the short on Friday AM and all the free programs on Saturday AM. Here is a link to the schedule http://backstagebarbie.blogspot.com/2012/10/2012-grand-prix-of-figure-skating.html.

Adelina Sotnikova (RUS) is our favorite Russian baby. She is a more complete skater than Tuktamisheva and Lipnitskaia and I hope she can win here and make it to the Grand Prix Final in Sochi. She won bronze at Skate America so let's hope that she keeps escalating!

Kiira Korpi (FIN) is looking divine this season. Her costumes are gorgeous and I appreciate how calm she looks on the ice. I love that every time she steps out, we know that we are going to get something beautiful. I love her elegance. We know she will always receive high PCS marks so that helps give her the edge over many other skaters.

Kanako Murakami (JPN) looks to factor into the medal scene this season after already securing a bronze at Skate Canada. She is finally growing into her body and she's held onto her jumps while developing a new sense of artistry. I expect to see her in the top 6 at Worlds this year with her lovely programs.

Gracie Gold (USA) could easily hit the podium if she goes clean. We all expected her to medal at Skate Canada, but she is a rookie senior and we shouldn't put so much pressure on her. She is brand new on the scene and we need to be patient while she develops.

My Podium Predictions:
Gold: Adelina Sotnikova (RUS)
Silver: Kiira Korpi (FIN)
Bronze: Kanako Murakami (JPN)

The Rest of the Field:
Valentina Marchei (ITA)
Polina Korobeynikova (RUS)
Alena Leonova (RUS)
Viktoria Helgesson (SWE)
Agnes Zawadzki (USA)
Caroline Zhang (USA)

Monday, October 15, 2012

Skate America: Ladies Preview

This should be Ashley Wagner's (USA) event to lose. She has the home ice advantage, and all the confidence in the world. Black Swan was such a statement piece for her last year and I'm very much looking forward to this year's programs. She's looking for her first Grand Prix gold medal.

Though Alena Leonova (RUS) medaled at the 2012 Worlds, I feel like she's a one-year-wonder. Her clunky, masculine approach cannot sit well with international judges much longer. She is usually quite clean, but a number of other ladies could pass her if they skate cleanly.

Adelina Sotnikova (RUS) was a highly publicized "Russian Baby" just a year ago. Though she didn't make the debut we had all hoped, she still did quite well on the 2011 Grand Prix, but she looked scared and timid. I pray that she unleashes her inner diva and swipes the silver.

Viktoria Helgesson (SWE) was the surprise bronze medalist at this event last year and even though she only medaled because other ladies failed spectacularly, she still has a legitimate shot this year if some of the "fragile competitors" meltdown. She has a very mature look on the ice that we do not see from the babies.

Rachael Flatt (USA) was once the darling of US Figure Skating. Last year we wondered if she could balance school and skating and the answer was clearly no. Has she gotten her insane schedule under control and stayed in good enough shape to return to a high level of competition? I've always had a soft spot for her so I hope so!

Will Christina Gao (USA) ever get it together and live up to her potential? She was once a lovely junior lady that we thought would be the future of US figure skating. Alas, her fragile competitive psyche would not allow that to happen and now that she is a Harvard student, will she become Rachael Flatt 2.0? She had a rough 2011 Grand Prix, so at least she has nowhere to go but up!


Podium Predictions
Gold: Ashley Wagner (USA)
Silver: Adelina Sotnikova (RUS)
Bronze: Alena Leonova (RUS)


The Rest of the Field:
Mae Berenice Meite (FRA)
Sarah Hecken (GER)
Valentina Marchei (ITA)
Haruka Imai (JPN)


Thursday, March 29, 2012

2012 World Figure Skating Championships: Ladies Short Program Results


  Pl.  Qual.NameNationTSS
=
TES
+
 PCS
+
SSTRPECHINDed.
-
StN.
1QAlena LEONOVARUS64.6134.64 29.977.297.077.647.577.890.00#20
2QKanako MURAKAMIJPN62.6734.61 28.067.186.757.077.007.070.00#27
3QCarolina KOSTNERITA61.0030.26 30.747.827.437.577.717.890.00#28
4QMao ASADAJPN59.4930.89 29.607.617.147.437.327.501.00#19
5QAkiko SUZUKIJPN59.3830.67 28.717.396.827.257.147.290.00#29
6QKsenia MAKAROVARUS58.5131.30 27.216.796.616.866.757.000.00#22
7QElene GEDEVANISHVILIGEO58.4930.86 27.636.866.576.966.937.210.00#21
8QAshley WAGNERUSA56.4228.80 27.626.966.646.966.827.140.00#24
9QKexin ZHANGCHN55.0032.76 22.245.865.185.615.615.540.00#13
10QViktoria HELGESSONSWE54.1928.35 25.846.506.116.616.466.610.00#30
11QValentina MARCHEIITA52.1427.28 24.866.325.756.296.256.460.00#25
12QJenna MCCORKELLGBR50.4227.56 22.865.895.325.825.685.860.00#14
13QAmelie LACOSTECAN49.3725.80 23.576.145.575.935.826.000.00#17
14QElena GLEBOVAEST49.0428.47 21.575.645.075.465.435.361.00#8
15QYretha SILETEFRA48.4227.60 20.825.464.935.215.185.250.00#16
16QAlissa CZISNYUSA48.3123.26 27.056.826.436.646.966.962.00#26
17QJuulia TURKKILAFIN47.7528.18 19.575.114.575.004.894.890.00#2
18QSonia LAFUENTEESP47.3626.98 20.385.324.795.255.075.040.00#4
19QPolina KOROBEYNIKOVARUS46.7125.36 21.355.545.115.255.435.360.00#3
20QNatalia POPOVAUKR46.6026.57 20.035.184.755.115.005.000.00#18
21QSarah HECKENGER46.3924.99 22.405.825.295.645.685.571.00#23
22QKerstin FRANKAUT45.8026.86 18.944.964.434.824.684.790.00#12
23QAlisa MIKONSAARIFIN44.1624.90 19.264.824.545.074.714.930.00#10
24QRomy BÜHLERSUI44.0223.78 20.245.184.645.185.145.180.00#5
25Victoria MUNIZPUR43.2724.56 18.714.794.324.754.644.890.00#15
26Isabelle PIEMANBEL38.4521.59 17.864.574.254.544.434.541.00#11
27Alina FJODOROVALAT38.0622.11 16.954.464.004.324.294.111.00#9
28Min-Jeong KWAKKOR36.9118.26 18.654.964.294.684.684.710.00#7
29Clara PETERSIRL34.0317.43 16.604.253.754.214.214.320.00#1
30Lejeanne MARAISRSA32.2216.96 16.264.183.794.144.114.111.00#6

Monday, March 26, 2012

2012 World Figure Skating Championships: Ladies Preview

This is an interesting year for the Ladies because while the field is depleted of the World and Olympic Champions and the hot young Russian phenoms, but it should still be a great competition. You could call this year's Worlds a battle of the underdogs and the ladies who "deserve" to win. The ladies skate their Short Program on Thursday March 29th at 7:30 am EST and their Free Skate on Saturday March 31st at 1:30 pm EST.

Podium Predictions
1) Carolina Kostner (ITA)
2) Mao Asada (JPN)
3) Ashley Wagner (USA)


Top Contenders

Carolina Kostner (ITA) has never been my favorite in the past, you know that if you've followed my posts, but she's finally grown on me. I've decided that her style is an acquired taste, like highbrow theatre or postmodern dance. The fact that has been winning all season with a watered down jump arsenal, but I say more power to her if she has figured out how to add up the points in other ways. I hate to suggest that people should be given more favor because of past performance and longevity, but if anybody is deserving of this World title, Kostner is.

Mao Asada (JPN) is another skater that you could call completely deserving of a title. She's bounced back remarkable after a series of battles in an out of skating. She reworked her technique and the poor thing had to deal with the death of her mother this season. She was great at Four Continents and would have won had she not watered down jumps in the Free Skate. The good news is she still has room to improve and looks poised to peak at Worlds.

Can you believe we're mentioning Ashley Wagner (USA) as a top World contender in the same breath as Kostner and Asada? Yet another person who is deserving of a medal for all she has gone through in getting away from the "almost girl" label. US Champ...check. Four Continents Champ...check. World Medalist...check? I think so! She isn't held in the same high esteem as Kostner and Asada with International judges, so if either is perfect, I think they will win. However, Wagner has been consistent and keeps adding more technical difficulty so if she is perfect and the others aren't, she may leave Nice with her third Gold in a row.

Akiko Suzuki (JPN) has had a solid career, but has only competed in one prior Worlds, placing 11th in 2010. She looked fantastic in her Grand Prix events and at The Final. We haven't seen her since the Final, but she did place second at Nationals against some very stiff competition. The judges love her and reward her with high PCS marks, which could be the difference maker against some of the younger, more technically advanced skaters.

Alissa Czisny (USA) is another skater who has been through so much on her way here...are we sensing a theme? It seems like last year was her window of opportunity after winning the GPF and US Nationals, but this girl has revived her career countless times and she can do it again. She melted down at her recent competition, The Challenge Cup, but I'm really hoping she lives out the the old adage "bad dress rehearsal, great performance."

Alena Leonova (RUS) has been all over the place this season. She gradually improved from fourth, to third, to second over her Grand Prix series, and then took third at the Final. But then she dropped to seventh at Europeans, the last event before Worlds. I could see her placing anywhere inside the top ten depending on which Alena shows up in Nice.

In The Hunt


Kanako Murakami (JPN) has hit a bit of a sophomore slump after having an impressive senior debut last year, but the good thing is she's gradually improved all year. Sixth at her 1st GP, 4th at her 2nd JP, and 4th at Four Continents. The most important thing is she held off all the competition at home and finished 3rd at Nationals to make the World team. Her programs are beautiful, much more mature than last year, and she's growing into them more and more each season.


Polina Korobeynikova (RUS) competed on the Grand Prix as a Junior placing fourth, second, and finally third at the Junior Grand Prix Final. However, she was the surprise of the European Championships placing fourth and beating all of her Russian teammates. She likely won't feel the pressure of the top ladies here and she could be a dark horse to sneak into the final group.

Ksenia Makarova (RUS) has been up, down, and all over since she hit the Senior level, but lately it's been more down. She didn't medal in either Grand Prix and took fourth at her Nationals. She even had to compete in a qualifying event before the Russian federation would add her to the team for Worlds. I love both of her programs this season because they are so different from what all the other ladies are doing these days. However, she seems to have lost her competitive edge and if she doesn't get it back before all of the Russian babies can compete at Worlds next year, this may be her last ISU Championship.

Elene Gedevanishvili (GEO) had truly resurrected her career this season. Brian Orser has done wonders for this girl that was once so fragile and turned her into a warrior. She got better throughout the Grand Prix season and she surprised everyone to win Bronze at Europeans. If she comes out guns blazing, she is a threat to make the final group.

Valentina Marchei (ITA) was a skater I counted out until she beat Alissa Czisny a few weeks ago at the Challenge Cup. She's struggled all season, but winning Silver there may have just been the confidence booster she needed to up her game.

Viktoria Helgesson (SWE) was the surprise Bronze medalist and she was solidly in the second tier of skaters all season. Her fifth place finish at Europeans was solid and a top-ten finish at Worlds would be a great accomplishment for her.

Amelie Lacoste (CAN) won Canadian Nationals, finally beating Cynthia Phaneuf, but Skate Canada still didn't trust her enough to send her in the one Canadian spot to Worlds. They made her compete with Phaneuf with a spot at Four Continents and she was the higher scorer so here she is. Perhaps going it alone and being out of Phaneuf's shadow will help her to live up her potential.

The Rest Of The Field


Chantelle Kerry (AUS)
Kerstin Frank (AUT)
Isabelle Pieman (BEL)
Daniela Stoeva (BUL)

Kexin Zhang (CHN)
Melinda Wang (TPE)
Mirna Libric (CRO)
Eliska Brezinova (CZE)
Karina Johnson (DEN)
Elena Glebova (EST)
Alisa Mikonsaari (FIN)
Juulia Turkkila (FIN)
Yretha Silete (FRA)
Sarah Hecken (GER)
Jenna McCorkell (GBR)
Georgia Glastris (GRE)
Viktoria Pavuk (HUN)
Ami Parekh (IND)
Clara Peters (IRL)
Alina Fjodorova (LAT)
Inga Januleviciute (LTU)
Fleur Maxwell (LUX)
Reyna Hamui (MEX)
Anine Rabe (NOR)
Zhaire Costiniano (PHI)
Victoria Muniz (PUR)
Min-Jeong Kwak (KOR)
Chae-Yeon Suhr (KOR)
Sabina Mariuta (ROU)
Marina Seeh (SBR)
Alexandra Kunova (SVK)
Dasa Grm (SLO)
Lejeanna Marais (RSA)
Sonia Lafuente (ESP)
Romy Buhler (SUI)
Mimi Tanasorn Chindasook (THA)
Sila Saygi (TUR)
Natalia Popova (UKR)

Wednesday, December 7, 2011

Grand Prix Final: Ladies Preview

She's baaaaaaack. After a disastrous 2010 Grand Prix, World Champion Mao Asada is gradually returning to top form. Though she has yet to do 2 clean programs at one event, she is showing her fighting spirit and I believe in her, enough to think she can topple the only double Gold winner of this Grand Prix season, Elizaveta Tuktamisheva. Liza has been outstanding, but she's also been almost 100% clean in all 4 programs thus far, which the other ladies cannot say. Because she lacks the maturity and elegance of the other ladies, Liza is beatable if other skaters go clean. Akiko Suzuki is another feel-good story this season, becoming one of the oldest ladies ever to win a Grand Prix at NHK Trophy. She receives very high PCS marks if she can land the jumps. Carolina Kostner & Alissa Czisny have had very comparable seasons, each winning one event and medaling in the other. Both are elegant and mature, but often make silly mistakes and beat themselves out of titles. Alena Leonova is not my favorite and that is no secret. I respect that she does the best she can with what she is given but her choreography is crap, in my opinion. You can shoot me if I'm wrong, but I say she is the only lady who has no shot of winning this thing.

Placement Predictions:
1) Mao Asada (JPN) Season's Highest GP Score 184.19
2) Elizaveta Tuktamisheva (RUS) Season's Highest GP Score 182.89
3) Akiko Suzuki (JPN) Season's Highest GP Score 185.98
4) Carolina Kostner (ITA) Season's Highest GP Score 182.12
5) Alissa Czisny (USA) Season's Highest GP Score 179.15
6) Alena Leonova (RUS) Season's Highest GP Score 180.45


Competitive History: 


Mao Asada (JPN)-1st at 2011 Rostelecom Cup, 2nd at 2011 NHK Trophy, 6th 2011 Worlds, 2nd 2011 Four Continents, 5th 2010 Trophee Eric Bompard, 8th 2010 NHK Trophy, 1st 2010 Worlds, 2nd 2010 Winter Olympics; PB: 205.50 at 2010 Winter Olympics (NHK Trophy, Rostelecom Cup)


Alissa Czisny (USA)-3rd at 2011 Trophee Eric Bompard, 1st at 2011 Skate America, 5th 2011 Worlds, 5th 2011 Four Continents, 1st 2010 Grand Prix Final, 3rd 2010 Trophee Eric Bompard, 1st 2010 Skate Canada; PB: 182.25 at 2011 Worlds (Skate America, Trophee Eric Bompard)


Carolina Kostner (ITA)-2nd at 2011 Trophee Eric Bompard, 1st at 2011 Cup of China, 2nd at 2011 Skate America, 3rd 2011 Worlds, 1st 2011 Gardena Spring Trophy, 2nd 2011 Europeans, 3rd 2010 Skate America, 1st 2010 NHK Trophy; PB: 184.68 at 2008 Worlds (Skate America, Cup of China, Trophee Eric Bompard)


Alena Leonova (RUS)-2nd at 2011 Rostelecom Cup, 3rd at 2011 NHK Trophy, 4th at 2011 Skate Canada, th 2011 Worlds, 5th 2011 Europeans, 9th 2010 Cup of Russia, 3rd 2010 Cup of China, 1st 2010 Coup de Nice, 3rd 2010 Finlandia Trophy; PB: 183.92 at 2011 Worlds (Skate Canada, NHK Trophy, Rostelecom Cup)


Akiko Suzuki (JPN)-1st at 2011 NHK Trophy, 2nd at 2011 Skate Canada, 7th 2011 Four Continents, 1st 2011 Triglav Trophy, 5th 2010 Grand Prix Final, 2nd 2010 Rostelecom Cup, 2nd 2010 Cup of China; PB: 185.98 at 2011 NHK Trophy (Skate Canada, NHK Trophy)

Elizaveta Tuktamisheva (RUS)-1st at 2011 Trophee Eric Bompard, 1st at 2011 Sktae Canada, 2nd 2011 World Junior Championships, 1st 2010 Junior Coup de Nice, 2nd 2010 Junior Grand Prix Final, 1st JGP Romania, 1st JGP Germany; PB: 182.89 at 2011 Trophee Eric Bompard (Skate Canada, Trophee Eric Bompard)

Tuesday, November 22, 2011

2011 Rostelecom Cup: Ladies Preview

This ladies event is a little difficult to predict because it's full of either young or inconsistent skaters, only 3 of the 10 having won a medal in their first Grand Prix of the season. The ladies skate their short Friday November 25th at 7:00 a.m. EST and their free on Saturday November 26th at 7:00 a.m. EST.
Mao Asada (JPN), coming off of a disastrous 2010-2011 season, looked fantastic at NHK Trophy where she finished just about a point out of first, and I think she can win here. If she goes clean with her technical elements she can beat the pants off of this field with her program components. Any medal will put her in the final. Adelina Sotnikova (RUS) did not make the Grand Prix debut we expected, though she finished a respectable 3rd in China. A Silver will likely be enough to secure her a spot in the final, though a Gold would guarantee it. Alena Leonova (RUS), Bronze medalist in Japan looks to qualify for the Final as well, though she also needs Silver, likely Gold, to secure a spot. I'm not a fan of her programs, but when she goes clean, the judges reward her accordingly. The American trio of Rachael Flatt (USA), Christina Gao (USA) & Agnes Zawadzki (USA) did not start out the season as they hoped, but because the final is now out of reach, they can skate all out and have nothing to lose. They all have podium potential if they put together two strong program and other make mistakes. Kiira Korpi (FIN) also had a rough start to the season and is in the same boat as the Americans in that she can skate full out without having to worry about qualifying for the Final. Her skating is so understated and she is a complete joy to watch.

My Podium Predictions:
1) Mao Asada (JPN)
2) Adelina Sotnikova (RUS)
3) Alena Leonova (RUS)


Competitive History:


Mao Asada (JPN)-2nd at 2011 NHK Trophy, 6th 2011 Worlds, 2nd 2011 Four Continents, 5th 2010 Trophee Eric Bompard, 8th 2010 NHK Trophy, 1st 2010 Worlds, 2nd 2010 Winter Olympics; PB: 205.50 at 2010 Winter Olympics

Sofia Biryukova (RUS)-1st 2011 Finlandia Trophy, 6th 2010 Rostelecom Cup, 6th 2010 Coup de Nice, 7th 2010 Finlandia Trophy; PB: 153.05 at 2010 Rostelecom Cup


Rachael Flatt (USA)-10th at 2011 Skate Canada, 12th 2011 Worlds, 4th 2011 Four Continents, 6th 2010 Grand Prix Final, 2nd 2010 Skate America, 2nd 2010 NHK Trophy; PB: 182.49 at 2010 Winter Olympics


hristina Gao (USA)-5th at 2011 Cup of China, 4th 2011 World Juniors, 6th 2010 JGP Final, 2nd 2010 JGP Germany, 2nd 2010 JGP Austria; PB: 167.14 at 2010 JGP Czech


Haruka Imai (JPN)-4th at 2011 Skate America, 3rd 2011 Gardena Spring Trophy, 2nd 2011 Asian Winter Games, 6th 2010 Trophee Eric Bompard, 5th 2010 Skate Canada, 1st 2010 O Nepala; PB: 155.29 at 2010 Four Continents


Kiira Korpi (FIN)-6th at 2011 NHK Trophy, 9th 2011 Worlds, 3rd 2011 Europeans, 1st 2010 Trophee Eric Bompard, 4th 2010 NHK Trophy, 2nd 2010 Finlandia Trophy, 1st 2010 Nebelhorn Trophy; PB: 169.74 at 2010 Trophee Eric Bompard at 2010 Trophee Eric Bompard


Amelie Lacoste (CAN)-6th at 2011 Skate Canada, 16th 2011 Worlds, 9th 2011 Four Continents, 5th 2010 Skate America, 3rd 2010 Skate Canada; PB: 156.26 at 2010 Skate Canada


Alena Leonova (RUS)-3rd at 2011 NHK Trophy, 4th at 2011 Skate Canada, th 2011 Worlds, 5th 2011 Europeans, 9th 2010 Cup of Russia, 3rd 2010 Cup of China, 1st 2010 Coup de Nice, 3rd 2010 Finlandia Trophy; PB: 183.92 at 2011 Worlds


Adelina Sotnikova (RUS)-3rd at 2011 Cup of China, 1st 2011 World Juniors, 1st 2010 JGP Final, 1st 2010 JGP England, 1st 2010 JGP Austria; PB: 178.97 at 2010 JGP Austria


Agnes Zawadzki (USA)-8th at 2011 NHK Trophy, 3rd 2011 World Juniors, 4th 2010 Rostelecom Cup, 6th 2010 Skate Canada; PB: 161.07 at 2011 Worlds 

Saturday, November 12, 2011

2011 ISU Grand Prix of Figure Skating: NHK Trophy Ladies Free Skate Commentary

1) Shoko Ishikawa (JPN)
     Music: Miss Saigon
  • She clearly does not have the jumping content of the other Japanese ladies, but I like her overall flow across the ice
  • This is very dynamic music, I'd like to see more interpretation and facial expression
  • She needs to straighten the leg on the sit spin
  • I feel like she is not committing to this program, she doesn't seem like she's giving it 100%
  • There is not nearly enough energy in this step sequence
  • She is almost crying, I don't know if that's because she's happy she didn't fall or if she's upset about something
FS Score: 34.14 (TES) + 42.93 (PCS) = 77.07
Total Score: 45.07 (SP) + 77.07 (FS) = 122.14

2) Cynthia Phaneuf (CAN)
     Music: Rhapsody on a Theme of Paganini
  • She is such a hard skater to watch because you know she is stuck inside her own head
  • If she could get herself straightened out mentally and just perform it would be amazing
  • And we start with a popped jump
  • One of the few skaters brave enough to go backless without illusion fabric
  • And another pop
  • She clearly has no self-confidence as these jumps are fine in the air but but she second guesses herself and opens up out of them
  • I don't love this classical piece on her, I'd rather see something more modern and aggressive
  • I'd rather see a skater fall 5 times than pop jumps because at least then you know they are really going for it
  • She is starting to look like herself here in the step sequence
  • It's a shame she wasn't able to take over where Joannie Rochette left off 
  • She is not happy with that at all
FS Score: 38.71 (TES) + 48.69 (PCS) -1.00 (DED) = 86.40
Total Score: 45.42 (SP) + 86.40 (FS) = 131.82

3) Mae Berenice Meite (FRA)
     Music: Fever, Hey Pachuko, Who Framed Roger Rabbit
  • I am not a fan of this costume on her, it would be perfect for a Latin short dance, but not a singles program
  • When the back is cut so low that you can see the top of your tights, you know it's a problem
  • She has a very high wrap on her jump rotations which is a technical issue
  • The jumps are her strength and when she under-rotates and puts hands down, that really hurts her
  • She has pretty good speed, at least what I can see on my screen
  • Her jump entries are very long, she could earn more points by changing the entries with some steps
  • This is a very weak spiral positions, she'd do well to actually hold the leg up as Nancy Kerrigan did
  • This is an odd mixture of music for me
  • The ending was strange, I felt she was just standing and posing
FS Score: 47.68 (TES) + 43.96 (PCS) = 91.64
Total Score: 52.05 (SP) + 91.64 (FS) = 143.69

4) Kiira Korpi (FIN)
     Music: I Got Rhythm
  • This is a very interesting costume, I'm not sure how I feel about the shoulder details, but it looks very high fashion to me
  • This is very playful and theatrical choreography
  • Very good speed so far
  • I love that she is perfectly in the period of this music, down to her hairstyle
  • Great fly into the sit spin
  • I love her commitment to the performance
  • She has such fantastic posture and body carriage
  • She's having a hard time finding the jumps today, a lot of doubling and singling
  • I'm liking this program on her, it's a departure from what she usually does and I appreciate the risk
  • She needs to stretch out through her fingertips, breaking at the wrists disrupts the arm line
  • Abrupt ending of the final spin trying to catch the last beat of the music on time
FS Score: 46.23 (TES) + 57.60 (PCS) = 103.83
Total Score: 53.70 (SP) + 103.83 (FS) = 157.53

5) Agnes Zawadzki (USA)
     Music: Rhapsody in Blue
  • It's strange seeing a new coach her with her
  • I don't like the dark hair, it doesn't work for her at all
  • I like this costume, it's a step in the right direction after what she wore last season
  • She is skating very slowly starting out
  • She rotates very quickly with a nice straight body position and very tightly wrapped legs
  • Her spins have improved greatly
  • She doesn't look over her legs in these jumps
  • Her spiral position has improved as well
  • Though she's not proving it today, I think that switching coaches will prove to be a positive in the long run
  • That leg overhead sit spin variation is very cool
  • I don't know that this music suits her so well, it is very big and broad and she needs to have the personality to live up to it
  • After the second fall, she is really struggling to get back up and keep going
  • She still looks very fit, but she looks undertrained stamina-wise
  • I appreciate the toe point on the I-spin, most skaters have an ugly flexed foot in that spin
FS Score: 36.52 (TES) + 49.82 (PCS) -2.00 (DED) = 84.35
Total Score: 53.84 (SP) + 84.35 (FS) =138.19

6) Ashley Wagner (USA)
     Music: Black Swan
  • I've always thought that skating 1st after warm-up must be difficult
  • This costume is exquisite
  • I love her upper body carriage
  • I wish she'd look up at the audience more rather than down at the ice
  • Very nice 3-jump combo to open, with an arm variation
  • Her rotation speed is much faster now, after the coaching change
  • She his fighting harder for the landings this season than ever before
  • I love way she uses her arms to attack the music
  • She's been getting lower PCS than I believe she deserves so it seems that the judges are holding her down until she can earn their respect again
  • With these programs and her execution of them, I hope she goes to Worlds along with Czisny
  • She'll be so happy with this skate!
FS Score: 54.45 (TES) + 55.32 (PCS)  = 109.77
Total Score: 55.88 (SP) + 109.77 (FS) = 165.65

7) Elene Gedevanishvili (GEO)
     Music: Phantom of the Opera
  • I don't like this costume, it just doesn't suit the music at all
  • That was a very long approach to that triple lutz, hand down
  • She is getting better at fighting for landings, Orser has clearly helped her mental game
  • I'm so over Phantom!
  • She is an athlete, but she really does nothing to try to interpret the music
  • What an ugly heel stretch spiral, she needs to point the foot and drop the hip
  • She looks a little disappointed in that skate
FS Score: 47.74 (TES) + 56.33 (PCS) -1.00 (DED) = 103.07
Total Score: 57.37 (SP) + 103.07 (FS) = 160.44

8) Mao Asada (JPN)
     Music: Liebestraum
  • Mao is getting huge applause here at home
  • Opens with a 3A, likely short of rotation
  • I'm glad she's having another go at this program after the rough last season
  • That toe point on the catch foot spin is gorgeous
  • Another triple axel! 
  • This is a piece of art and the jumps are just part of it
  • Aside from a few jump exits that could be held out a bit longer, this was a fantastic program
  • She's made a comeback! And at home!
FS Score: 61.20 (TES) + 64.57 (PCS) = 125.77
Total Score: 58.42 (SP) + 125.77 (FS) = 184.19

9) Alena Leonova (RUS)
     Music: Adagio for Strings, Requiem for a Tower
  • She is a very clean jumper with fast rotation
  • This is actually a fairly elegant program compared to what she normally puts out there
  • She looks very calm, she's not giving away the easy point that she normally gives
  • Toe jumps are much stronger for her than edge jumps
  • She has rather long, boring entrances to her jumps
  • And she just opened up a jump, so much for not making small mistakes
  • She needs to concentrate on pointing her feet
  • That was a very abrupt ending
  • Very wild footwork, she needs to control it
  • PS what is up with her hair?
FS Score: 50.50 (TES) + 58.42 (PCS) = 108.92
Total Score: 61.76 (SP) + 108.92 (FS) = 170.68


10) Akiko Suzuki (JPN)
      Music: Die Fledermaus
  • Akiko is so teeny tiny!
  • Would be great to see Japan go 1, 2 in this event
  • Nice triple lutz, great extension on the free leg
  • I've never seen someone continue improving technically in their later years as she is
  • She has such an elegance in her body carriage
  • I love that "sleeping position" on the sit spin variation
  • That upside down broken camel is just ugly, though I know it increases the level
  • Popped a jump, but still able to add on two doubles to make a 3-jump combo, now that's a veteran move
  • Another pop, she is opening the door for Mao
  • She'll hold on to win, but this is not the perfect free skate she wanted for her first Grand Prix victory
FS Score: 57.04 (TES) + 62.39 (PCS) = 119.43
Total Score: 66.55 (SP) + 119.43 (FS) = 185.98


FPl.NameNationPointsSPFS
1Akiko SUZUKI
JPN
185.9812
2Mao ASADA
JPN
184.1931
3Alena LEONOVA
RUS
170.6824
4Ashley WAGNER
USA
165.6553
5Elene GEDEVANISHVILI
GEO
160.4446
6Kiira KORPI
FIN
157.5375
7Mae Berenice MEITE
FRA
143.6987
8Agnes ZAWADZKI
USA
138.1969
9Cynthia PHANEUF
CAN
131.8298
10Shoko ISHIKAWA
JPN
122.141010


  Pl.  NameNationTSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SSTRPECHINDed.
-
StN.
1Mao ASADAJPN125.7761.2064.578.117.758.078.218.210.00#8
2Akiko SUZUKIJPN119.4357.0462.398.077.507.717.757.960.00#10
3Ashley WAGNERUSA109.7754.4555.327.046.617.047.006.890.00#6
4Alena LEONOVARUS108.9250.5058.427.546.867.437.327.360.00#9
5Kiira KORPIFIN103.8346.2357.607.147.007.117.397.360.00#4
6Elene GEDEVANISHVILIGEO103.0747.7456.337.326.757.077.007.071.00#7
7Mae Berenice MEITEFRA91.6447.6843.965.685.185.545.545.540.00#3
8Cynthia PHANEUFCAN86.4038.7148.696.365.715.966.186.211.00#2
9Agnes ZAWADZKIUSA84.3536.5349.826.506.046.146.256.212.00#5
10Shoko ISHIKAWAJPN77.0734.1442.935.615.185.295.545.210.00#1