Showing posts with label 2011 us figure skating championships. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2011 us figure skating championships. Show all posts

Monday, January 31, 2011

2011 US Figure Skating Championships: The Barbie Awards for Best Moments in Greensboro

I needed a way to summarize Nationals 2011 in my own way without doing a generic wrap up of each event. I thought of doing a top ten favorite moments post, but there were so many that were great for different reasons that I simply couldn't rank them. So, I decided that I would just talk about the things that were highlights for me and why they were so special. Therefore, I give you The Barbie Awards for the Best Moments in Greensboro.
Newcomer Award: Courtney Hicks
Courtney Hicks won the Jr Ladies event by a huge margin and with the highest score ever posted by a US Jr lady. If the pressure doesn't get to her, she will do a phenomenal job at the Jr Worlds this season on a spectacular team also composed of Agnes Zawadzki & Christina Gao. What was spectacular about Courtney wasn't her win though, it was her ability and her talent. She truly reminds me of Sasha Cohen, not just because they share a coach, a dress, and a music selection, but because of her lines and technique. If she can find the consistency that Sasha lacked, she'll go very far. Check out her tw-hicks spin if you get the chance, I can't even describe it, but she is basically a spinning pretzel.

Debut Award: Mary Beth Marley
We've been hearing all season about the new partnership of Marley & Brubaker but we didn't get a chance to see them and boy was I surprised, pleasantly so. They haven't completely gelled as a pair yet-their jumps and spins aren't in perfect unison-but the progress they've made in 5 months is outstanding. Mary Beth showed so much determination in landing those throws and holding her positions in the lifts, especially after a fall in the free skate on some basic crossovers. She definitely has a fighting spirit and a willingness to learn which was great to see. They have so much promise if they can just stay together and stay healthy. The 2011 Grand Prix season will give them the chance to compete against the World's best and see how they stack up.
Emotionally Stirring Performance Award: Yankowskas & Coughlin
It's no surprise that I found John and Caitilin's free skate to Ave Maria to be the emotional performance of Nationals this year. Yes skating is a sport, but it is also about performing, and the performances are always more captivating when they portray real human emotion. Marina Zoueva's choreography perfectly conveyed what John was feeling after his mother's death and they translated it in such a way that it served as catharsis for John and also allowed he and Caitlin to connect with the audience in a very personal way. Aside from the mesmerizing performance, the program was very sound technically, aside from an awkward landing on a throw, and the judges awarded them, rightfully so, the gold medal. If they can deliver the two programs they performed at Nationals at Worlds, they'll do very well.
Watch out World Award: Maia & Alex Shibutani
I have been following this delightful brother and sister Ice Dance duo all season and they improve every time they step onto the ice. They have great natural ability and are very well matched, but I can also tell that they are very hard workers. They are both still teenagers and they have a very bright future as a team. They have the best coaches in the world, Marina Zoueva & Igor Shpilband, and at the rate they are going, they'll soon pass Davis & White.They may not have won a Junior World title, but if they can avoid injury and keep up their work ethic, they are sure to stand atop the senior World podium a few short years from now. Oh and did I mention that their short dance to The Carousel Waltz is the most heart-warming program of the season?

Selling the Performance Award: Madison Chock & Greg Zuerlein
Madison & Greg's free dance to Cabaret has been the program I've talked about all season, and being a musical theatre gal, this is no surprise. This team has never really done much for me until I caught them at Skate Canada and was blown away. They have toed the line between over the top and too conservative all season but I felt they really hit their stride in Greensboro. They gave all they had to the performance without getting out of control. I felt like I was watching a young Liza Minnelli & Joel Grey. Excuse my theatrical terminology, but Madison knows how to "chew the scenery" just like Ms. Minnelli. With the rise of the Shibutani siblings, It may be a pipe dream, but I would still love to see Madison & Greg win a world championship someday because I appreciate their commitment to performance. 
Kick It And Stick It Award: Rachael Flatt
I am a Rachael fan and have really felt for her as she experienced the ups and downs of the season. She put us some great performances on the Grand Prix to win two silvers, but never had enough in the tank to win gold. An injury led to a disappointing Grand Prix Final and the scores her programs received this season seemed they would keep her off of the World Team. But then Lori Nichol stepped in, as she often does, with a brilliant piece of choreography that, in my opinion, saved Rachael's season. Before Rachael took the ice for her new East of Eden short program in Greensboro, I tweeted that I was going to lend Rachael my signature catchphrase "Kick It & Stick It." But what she did on the ice surprised us all. She actually did the "stick it" part first as she landed 4 clean jumps, in true Rachael fashion. But what nobody expected was when the "kick it" part came in as she lit up the arena with an explosive step sequence that showed passion that we have never seen from her, ever. Unfortunately she didn't completely kick it or stick it in the free skate, but she did enough to go onto Four Continents and Worlds, where I will again lend her my signature phrase. 
Comeback Kid Award: Alissa Czisny
Alissa is on the short list of most talked about skaters in the world this year, and who expected that? Well according to Alissa, her success has come from having coaches that truly believe in her, so Yuka Sato & Jason Dungjen have had faith all along that this would be her season. What I love about Alissa is that she demonstrates that grace, artistry, and belief in yourself can often get you further than triple-triple combinations. She has also shown the world that great figure skating careers don't have to end at age 17. After a tumultuous history at Nationals it was great to see her win a second title, this time with two clean performances and no controversy surrounding the win. Her performances in Greensboro were like a breath of fresh air and this was the first time I could really enjoy watching her skate without fearing that she would fall. After a very solid season and two major titles, Grand Prix Final & US Nationals, dare I say she has broken shaken the label of "the pretty skater who can't land her jumps?" Well I was one of those naysayers and she has certainly changed my mind this season, so with a strong showing at Four Continents, she may just establish herself about one to beat at Worlds.
Showmanship Award: Ryan Bradley
Ryan Bradley has always been known as a showman, and unfortunately, as the skater who finishes just off of the podium. He planned to retire after the heartbreak of missing the 2010 Vancouver team but due to popular demand, he returned to Nationals. With a new mindset, please the audience and enjoy himself, Ryan was freer than I've ever seen him and he delivered a short program that was sheer entertainment for the audience, but also a points magnet that landed him in first place. I cannot recall any other program in recent memory, aside from Davis & White's Baliwood, that was this entertaining while still gathering a huge sum of points from the judges.

Fighting Spirit Award: Adam Rippon
Adam's shaky performance in the short program, complete with a fall on the Rippon lutz, was the heartbreak of Nationals for me. I wanted so badly for him to win this one and I'm still in shock that he will not be competing at Worlds after a 5th place finish last season. After the disappointment of the short, I wanted so badly for him to come back with a strong free, and aside from a shaky first jump, he did just that. When Adam is "on" his skating is a thing of such beauty and last night he was "on". I think he knew that even a perfect free skate wouldn't put him on the podium, but the joy on his face after he finished a near perfect program was simply infectious. A lesser person would have given up after being favored to win and landing in 9th place after the short. Adam proved in the free that he has what it takes to be a winner if he can work on his focus and his mental toughness.

Sunday, January 23, 2011

2011 US Figure Skating Championships: Novice Compulsory Dance

Alright y'all here we go...competition is officially underway in Greensboro with the Novice Ice Dances in their compulsory dance. As a judge, it must be such an honor to judge at nationals.

BLUES

1) Howe/Farmer
  • The speed seems to really be lacking here
  • They are nicely synchronized with the music
  • They seem intently focused which is good, but she is definitely more of a performer than he is
  • Is it just me or does she look like Lynn Kriengkrairut?
  • 14.12 (TES) + 14.44 (PCS) = 19.99
2) Parsons/Parsons
  • I already don't like these costumes for a blues number, they are too light and flowy and seem more appropriate for a waltz
  • This team has much better speed than the previous team and they also seem to get further onto their edges
  • I don't know why they let the music run so long after the dance is finished, we have to hear the same piece 12 times so is it necessary to prolong it?
  • 18.14 (TES) + 17.57 (PCS) = 25.00
3) Mancini/Brooks
  • Now those costumes look more like blues costumes
  • She needs to lift her head more and elongate her neck because she looks like she is staring at the ground
  • They are pretty deep into their knees which is good but they need more stretch in their free legs and a lot more speed
  • Thank you for killing the music asap once the dance ended
  • 17.93 (TES) + 16.60 (PCS) = 24.17
4) Oi/Jhanke
  • I could tell from their entrance that I liked them, they just knew how to carry themselves from their first stroke
  • They do need more speed, but their elegance is undeniable and they have nice lines
  • I'm calling it now, if they stay together, they'll be a top team here in a few years
  • I wonder if Zoueva & Shpilband every scout new teams or if the ice dancers come to them?
  • She is a lovely performer and I don't know what it is, but there is something really special about them
  • 15.45 (TES) + 15.31 (PCS) = 21.54
5) Pogrebinsky/Gudis

  • They seem to have a nice flow across the ice
  • She really needs to straighten her knees and point her feet to elongate the leg line
  • I don't like him in those tails because they disrupt the leg line and just get in the way
  • She has something in her hair that is kind of distracting and juvenile looking
  • 16.73 (TES) + 16.06 (PCS) = 22.96
6) Deissroth/Mueller
  • They are an older team and their height similarity makes for an interesting look
  • She has such long legs, I wish she would extend them more
  • I also hoped they would have more of a performance quality because they are older but I didn't really get that from them
  • 13.47 (TES) + 13.03 (PCS) = 18.55
7) Grant/Skala
  • I would love to see these skaters do more in terms of makeup and hair to treat this more as a performance
  • They are skating painfully slow here
  • They look scared and aren't giving me anything in terms of performance quality
  • Leg lines need to be elongated
  • 14.34 (TES) + 13.65 (PCS) =19.59
8) DeMaria/Miller

  • I would love for them to be faster
  • They have nice leg lines and I appreciate that they are really trying hard to point their feet, that gets a lot of points in my book
  • She gets very deep in her low positions
  • The look very tentative, especially her, but they are nice skaters and have no reason to hold back
  • 14.10 (TES) + 13.78 (PCS) =19.52
9) Schmucker/Munday
  • Nice speed to start out with
  • They have nice posture and carriage, particularly the man
  • Normally the woman is the picture and the man is the frame but he really has nice posture and he is a joy to watch
  • 15.34 (TES) + 15.19 (PCS) = 21.37
10) Moore/Klaber
  • I like the suspender look on him, but her dress is a little to romantic and ethereal for me
  • This sounds weird but they have very nice extensions to the back in what would be an arabesque position in ballet
  • I want all of these ice dancers to take ballet so they can learn to point their feet-an unpointed foot just destroys an otherwise beautiful leg line
  • You know how some teams just have that "look" that they fit together, well this is one of those teams
  • 16.37 (TES) + 16.11 (PCS) = 22.74
11) Jeandell/Dodge
  • They have a nice intensity about them, particularly in the opening poses 
  • They seem to have lost that intensity as the program went along

Current Leaderboard:
Parsons/Parsons 25.00
Mancini/Brooks 24.17 
Pogrebinsky/Gudis 22.96
Moore/Klaber 22.74 
Oi/Jhanke 21.54
Schmucker/Munday 21.37
Howe/Farmer 19.99
Grant/Skala 19.59
DeMaria/Miller 19.52
Deissroth/Mueller 18.55

2011 US Figure Skating Championships: The Top Coaches

As we gear up for the start of competition at Nationals in Greensboro today, we cannot wait to see our favorite skaters give it their all. But behind every skater there is a dedicated team, so I thought it would be nice to write about some of the most important people in the sport...the coaches.
Let's start out with one of my favorite figure skating coaches, Frank Carroll. I was, and still am, a huge Michelle Kwan fan so Frank is the first skating coach I ever knew of. I have watched him coach many skaters, but I'll always remember him in conjunction with Michelle. I am not the biggest Evan Lysacek fan but I was so happy that he won Olympic Gold because he was Frank's first ever Olympic Gold. Because Evan is retired, Frank's only elite skater in contention at Nationals is Mirai Nagasu. I have loved watching their relationship develop and I still remember Cup of China last season when he told her she was no longer allowed to cry at competitions. Mirai has calmed down and matured a lot over the past few seasons and most of that can be attributed to Frank's stellar coaching skills.

Another one of my favorite coaches these days, and perhaps the busiest skating coach in the business is Tom Zakrajsek of the Broadmoor Skating Club in Colorado Springs. Correct me if I am missing anybody but he has at least 7 elite skaters competing in Greensboro this year including Rachael Flatt, Agnes Zawadzki, Alexe Gilles, Brandon Mroz, Joshua Farris, Alexander Johnson, and Max Aaron. With Rachael and Brandon being top contenders in their events, Tom could theoretically have two national champions under his tutelage. Between 4 senior skaters, Tom was at every senior ISU Grand Prix this season (I want his frequent flyer miles), including the final. He is known to go above and beyond to prepare and motivate his skaters, from renting late night ice time to prepare his male skaters for a late draw in the short program, to doing pushups on national TV when Rachael Flatt won the free skate at Skate America. Greensboro certainly won't be a vacation for coach Tom, but with so many talented skaters, he'll certainly enjoy the spoils of victory.


If anybody is going to challenge Tom for the title of "busiest coach" it will be Marina Zoueva & Igor Shpilband. They train the four top senior dance teams in the country, though Samuelson and Bates are absent due to injury, and Lichtman and Copely, a top junior team. Their work with Davis & White, Chock & Zuerlein, and previously with Belbin & Agosto has completely transformed Ice Dance in the US. They've made world class competitors in a discipline that was previously dominated by eastern Europeans. Unless something outlandish happens next weekend, their teams should sweep the senior National podium and win the junior title. In addition to "busiest coaches" they'll also most likely be the "most decorated coaches" this week in Greensboro.
Of all the coaches that have multiple pupils competing in the Senior division, the husband and wife team of Yuka Sato & Jason Dungjen have the best chance of striking Gold twice. They have done wonders with Alissa Czisny, particularly in terms of confidence and consistency, in their first season with her and coached her to a Grand Prix Final gold. She is, in my opinion, the favorite to win the ladies title if she can keep her focus. On the men's side, they also coach Jeremy Abbott, who is the 2-time reigning US champion and looks strong enough to win a third this week. Yuka choreographs for additional skaters around the world and Jason is an ISU technical specialist. This marriage of technical expertise and choreographic artistry has allowed them to add precision and polish to Jeremy and Alissa. I have a feeling they'll be getting requests to coach a lot more skaters if they have the success I suspect they will in Greensboro.
Olympic silver medalist and coach of Olympic gold medalist Yu-Na Kim, Brian Orser, also has two top contenders in the senior event, Adam Rippon and Christina Gao. Adam put up the top score by a US male this season and Christina put up the 3rd highest score by a US lady, so he too may have medalists on two senior podiums. After his break with Kim, Rippon and Gao are his top skaters and he now has more time to focus on them. If all goes as predicted, he'll be taking Adam to Worlds and Christina to junior Worlds where they'll both be medal threats. Orser is a great example of a successful world-class skater who was able to use his experience to become a stellar coach.



Priscilla Hill is yet another coach who has top contenders in senior men's and ladies with Armin Mahbanoozadeh and Ashley Wagner. Both have the potential to medal in their events. She also coaches Stephen Carierre who has withdrawn due to injury and some other international skaters. Hill is no stranger to coaching winners, as she coached Johnny Weir to 3 National titles and was usfsa's 2004 coach of the year. She trains her students at the University of Delaware Figure Skating Club in Wilmington.



Married couple John Zimmerman & Sylvia Fontana are first-time coaches, but they have taken on reigning US Pairs champions Denney & Barrett and have done wonders with them thus far. Their work has built some consistency within the team and taught them to connect with one another more on the ice. They train the pair in Florida and are working to establish a world-class pairs training center there. In my opinion, that is just what is needed for US pairs skating to begin to thrive and this may just be the coaching team to do it. Look at Russian pairs under Tamara Moskvina, Chinese pairs under Bin Yao, and USA/Canada ice dance under Zoueva/Shpilband-they are all very successful programs and the common thread is one coach and one training system. If I were Zimmerman & Fontana, I would look for strong young skaters and pair them up very young so that they learn their elements together and learn to truly skate as one. I think that they can help Denney & Barrett to grow and improve, but their work should focus primarily on younger skaters if they want to truly establish a successful US pairs training program.

Saturday, January 22, 2011

2011 US Figure Skating Championships: Senior Ladies Predictions and Fantasy Picks

My Predictions:
1) Alissa Czisny
2) Mirai Nagasu
3) Rachael Flatt
4) Ashley Wagner
5) Christina Gao
6) Agnes Zawadzki


My Fantasy Picks:                         Skate Gate's Fantasy Picks:
A) Alissa Czisny                             A) Alissa Czisny
B) Christina Gao                            B) Christina Gao
C) Kristiene Gong                          C) Kristiene Gong


I never thought I would say this, but it seems that Alissa Czisny is poised to reclaim her National title. She has always seemed to me like a beautiful show skater who could never handle the competition pressure, but she truly proved me wrong this season. Her programs are gorgeous this season and the lyrical qualities of each selection suit her better than any other piece I've seen her skate to. The coaching change to Yuka Sato, a former World Champion, and Jason Dungjen seems to have allowed her to truly take ownership of her own skating. Her win at Skate Canada caught me by surprise, but a lackluster Trophee Eric Bompard made me wonder if she was for real this time. But two near perfect performances that garnered at total score of 180.75 quieted all of the naysayers at the Final. Beating some of the world's best by winning the Grand Prix Final gave Alissa so much confidence and validation and she is the favorite going into Nationals. She gets such high marks for her program components and for her spins on the technical side that she can afford some small mistakes or negative GOE's on jumps. So it is my belief that all she has to do is stay on her feet and she will be the National champion once again. Regardless of how she finishes, I think she is a smart choice to send to Worlds because her programs have scored very well internationally this season and she has already beaten Mao Asada, Miki Ando, Carolina Kostner, and Kanako Murakami who will be some of the top contenders at Worlds this season.

I love Mirai Nagasu and I think that she has the brightest future of any of the top US ladies. Of the top seniors right now, I think she is the only one who will be able to contend in Sochi in 2014, but she needs to improve her consistency and tackle her demons. She always says that when she is in first after the short program, she feels too much pressure and falls apart, which we saw at the 2010 Worlds and at Cup of China. So for Mirai's sake, let's hope that somebody beats her in the short program. Mirai is a skater like Alissa that can afford small errors because she receives high technical marks for her spins as well as high program components scores. Her highest combined score of 167.79 from Trophee Eric Bompard was the second highest score posted by a US lady this season, though its about 13 points short of what Alissa Czisny put up at The Grand Prix Final. She won a silver medal at Trophee Eric Bompard this season, her first senior Grand Prix medal, so with that added confidence, I think she can make a strong showing at Worlds if she can qualify with at top two finish in Greensboro. I think the most important thing for US ladies this season is to gain a 3rd slot for Worlds. In order to do that, the US ladies' placements at Worlds need to add up to 13 or less and I think Alissa and Mirai are the best bets to do that.
The person who is probably going to throw a wrench into my predictions is Rachael Flatt and I love her for that. An ankle injury plagued her all season but she still brought home two Grand Prix medals against tough fields. She qualified for the Grand Prix Final, and though she had a disappointing finish, she qualified nonetheless, which is something Mirai Nagasu and Ashley Wagner could not do. For some reason international judges score Rachael lower than most on program components but she has been working this season to transition from a little girl to a more mature skater and she has really grown up. She has also been working on her jumps to avoid under-rotation calls that plagued her last season at the Olympics and Worlds. Her highest combined score this season is a 165.53 which places her 5th among US ladies this season. The short program will be key for Rachael, she has actually scrapped her old jazzy short and replaced it with an East of Eden program choreographed by Lori Nichol. I think that with Rachael's consistently low program components scores, there are only two ways that she can land in the top two and make the World team. She need to either win the short program or sit in a close second in order to have the edge going into the free skate and a points buffer to hold of Alissa and Mirai's PCS marks. The option for Rachael is to do what she does best and hit all of her elements cleanly, because while Alissa, Mirai, and company very well may make mistakes, Rachael is the consistency queen. Rachael is such a fighter and I have no doubt that she will skate two clean programs, but she'll need some help from the other ladies to make the top two.
Ashley Wagner is yet another lady who could contend for the National title if she puts together two clean programs. Like Ryan Bradley on the mens side, she has spent a lot of time in the dreaded 4th place position at Nationals. She actually won the bronze last season and was devastated to have not made the Olympic team so it would be great for her to have a shot at the World team this season. She is an elegant skater and is just beautiful to watch when she is "on". The key for Ashley will be the short program because she considers herself a "free skater" as that is her stronger program usually. She will have to have the short program of her life in Greensboro to stay at the top, especially if other top ladies can put together two clean programs.
Other ladies who can make a splash include 2010 US Junior champion and Junior World silver medalist Agnes Zawadzki who put up two stellar short programs in her senior Grand Prix debut. Christina Gao won two Junior Grand Prix silver medals this year and qualified for the final. Her score of 167.14 from the JGP of Austria ranks her 3rd among US ladies internationally. Kiri Baga, Kristiene Gong, and Yasmin Siraj also qualified for the Junior Grand Prix final and will be making senior debuts at Nationals, as well as Vanessa Lam who also put up big scores on the Junior Grand Prix. Then there is longtime favorite Caroline Zhang who has struggled since her success as a Junior and we are all pulling for her to make a comeback.

2011 US Figure Skating Championships: Senior Men Predictions and Fantasy Picks

My Predictions:
1) Adam Rippon
2) Jeremy Abbott
3) Brandon Mroz
4) Ryan Bradley
5) Armin Mahbanoozadeh
6) Richard Dornbush


My Fantasy Picks:                               SkateGate's Fantasy Picks
A) Adam Rippon                                  A) Adam Rippon
B) Armin Mahbanoozadeh                  B) Armin Mahbanoozadeh
C) Jonathan Cassar                             C) Douglas Razzano


I think Adam Rippon is my favorite singles skater of this season and I have faith that he is going to bring the goods and win in Greensboro. He has been on the cusp for the past few years and finished an impressive 5th last season. I love that even though he is more of an "artistic skater," he still brings the same goods technically as the best in the world. His 233.04 total score at Skate Canada is the highest achieved by a US male on the Grand Prix this season, and nearly 12 points higher than the next closest competitor. His performance at Skate America was a bit disappointing, but I think he is ready to bounce back. His Rippon Lutz, with two arms overhead is one of the highlights of any competition he enters. We have yet to see his quad, but I hope he debuts in in Greensboro to get some competition experience with it going into worlds. I think Adam is ready to fill the "artistic" void that Johnny Weir normally fills at nationals, though probably without the off-ice antics. He is well trained and well prepared by coach Brian Orser and I truly believe that Adam Rippon is poised and ready to become the next US National Champion.
While Adam Rippon is ready to win a National title, Jeremy Abbott is just as ready to defend his, and he has already done that successfully. Some of the keys to continuing his reign for a third year will be mental toughness, and the quad. It has been debated for years, but the quad is still a major factor in every men's competition and Jeremy has it, as long as he goes for it and can land it successfully. Jeremy is not one of those skaters who forgets past mistakes and his disappointing Olympic finish last season really hit him hard. If he can use that to fuel his skating and bring out the fierce competitor within, he just may hang on to his title. Regardless of where he finishes, I would be baffled if he didn't make the podium, and the World team, in some way, shape or form. He suffered some boot issues this season and felt that not qualifying for the Grand Prix Final was a blessing because it gave him time to work in the new boots, so if all is well on that front, he'll be tough to topple in Greensboro. His top score this season was 218.19 at NHK, just about 15 points below Adam Rippon's top score.
Also in the thick of things is Brandon Mroz who medaled at both of his Grand Prix events this season and has great momentum going into Nationals. Up until now I always thought of him as the athletic, "man's man" skater, sort of like a Michael Weiss, but he has really grown as an artist this season. His Bernstein free skate suits him perfectly and give off a "cool guy" vibe. His emphasis though still is on the technical and he was the only US male to land the quad on the Grand Prix circuit. Having that as a solid part of his jump arsenal will give him quite an edge at Nationals, especially if other men forgo the quad or attempt it and fall. His top score this season was 216.80 which is just a little over a point below Jeremy Abbott's top score. He says his goal is to win gold and though he is a very strong skater, he doesn't get the program components scores of Rippon or Abbott, but if they make mistakes, Brandon may just achieve his goal and stand atop the podium.
The dark horse of this competition will be none other than long-time fan favorite Ryan Bradley. He was so disappointed last season to have missed the Olympic team, but at the request of his fans, he is returning to compete at Nationals this year. He will repeat his free program from last season, but plans to debut a new short. Like Mroz, Bradley has the quad in his arsenal and knows how to use it. I love Ryan as a performer and I would love to see him do well, but I hate to say that I think his time has passed. He has never performed incredibly well at Worlds and I think it is in the USA's best interest to send Rippon, Abbott, and Mroz. I do think Bradley will put up a good fight but I suspect he may find himself in the familiar, painful position of fourth. I am not trying to take anything away from him, I am just stating the facts. I think he is a brilliant performer and can enjoy a nice career as a show skater if he chooses to do so. Either way, it will be good for the fans to see a familiar face in a relatively young field.
Another skater to watch is Armin Mahbanoozadeh. I never thought he would challenge for a medal this season, but he blew me away at Skate America with a strong short and his innovative Avatar free skate. He put up a 211.17 to beat Adam Rippon for the bronze medal. If all of the top skaters do their best and skate clean, I think Armin will land in about 5th place, but if other skaters falter, he will be right there to seize a medal. Either way, this has been a great season for him and after he made that splash internationally at Skate America, look for him to receive two Grand Prix assignments next season and be a medal threat at both. Other skaters that look to factor into the top group are Richard Dornbush who won the Junior Grand Prix Final with a 219.56, the third highest total score put up by a US man this season. He also has some of the lowest scores by a US man this season so we'll see if he brings his A game to Greensboro. Joshua Farris and Keegan Messing also competed on the Junior Grand Prix Final and had impressive overall seasons. Ross Miner and Grant  Hochstein competed on the Senior Grand Prix Circuit and could factor into the top groups if others make mistakes.

Friday, January 21, 2011

2011 US Figure Skating Championships: Senior Pairs Predictions and Fantasy Picks

My Predictions:
1) Caitlin Yankowskas & John Coughlin
2) Caydee Denney & Jeremy Barrett
3) Amanda Evora & Mark Ladwig
4) Marissa  Castelli & Simon Shnapir
5) Mary Beth Marley & Rockne Brubaker


My Fantasy Picks:                                     SkateGate's Fantasy Picks:
A) Yankowskas & Couglin                         A) Yankowskas & Coughlin
B) Marley & Brubaker                               B) Marley & Brubaker
C) Aaron & Cohen                                     C) Aaron & Cohen
Pairs is always a tough event to call at Nationals because anything can happen. When your pair teams are as inconsistent as they are in the US, falls and mistakes are practically inevitable, especially in high-pressure situations. However, I am going to be an optimist and hope that we have a fabulous senior pairs event this year with clean programs and tight competition. The pairs title really could go to about five different teams depending on how the chips fall, but I think this event is going to belong to Caitlin Yankowskas & John Coughlin. They have a fierce short program that they really attack and a gorgeous free skate to Ave Maria dedicated to the memory of John's mother. They put up some strong programs on the Grand Prix and have the hardware to prove it with a bronze medal at Cup of China. Their scores this season, a top combined score of 166.72, are competitive internationally and they qualified as second alternate for the Grand Prix Final. Based on their momentum from the Grand Prix, I think they are truly the team to beat in Greensboro.
Caydee Denney & Jeremy Barrett are the defending US National Champions but based on their Grand Prix performances, I think they will be playing catch up at Nationals, and that may be a good thing for them. Last year they came in as underdogs and won the title. This season, all the buzz is about Yankowskas & Coughlin so Denney & Barrett are going to find themselves in another situation where they are not necessarily favored to win, and that low-pressure situation very well could lead to another title. Though at first glance it seems that they had an unsuccessful Grand Prix season because they did not bring home medals, they competed against tougher fields than some of the other top US teams. And though they suffered a fall in the free skate, their Skate America score that landed them in 4th was 166.42, only .30 less than the score that won Yankowskas & Coughlin a bronze at Cup of China. I love their Free Skate to Gershwin's Rhapsody in Blue and I think it is so dynamic and exciting. Their coaching switch to John Zimmerman has done wonders for their performance quality and I think they will put up a strong fight to hold onto their national title.
Reigning US silver medalists Amanda Evora & Mark Ladwig will also be right in the thick of things. They struggled at Cup of China but ended their Grand Prix season with a bronze medal at Cup of Russia so they have great momentum going into Nationals. Both of their programs this season, short to The Mask of Zorro and free to Nessun Dorma are gorgeous and they have some of the best elements in the world if they can execute well. In fact, one of the lifts in their free skate was the highest scoring single element in the entire pairs competition at the Olympics last season. Because of their lack of consistency, I have them in third, but they could easily run away with this competition if they skate two clean programs. Their 110.27 in the free skate is the highest of any US pair this season so if they can stay in the top 3 in the short program, their free skate could put them atop the podium.
Marissa Castelli & Simon Shnapir are a wildcard team for me because they have some spectacular elements but are incredibly inconsistent. They showed us an incredible short program at Skate Canada but fell apart in the free skate and fell into a hole in Skate America with a weak short program but went on to put up a good number in the free skate. They have an edge to them and do not conform to tradition in terms of music or costumes with a Pink Floyd short program and an Avatar free skate. They can definitely shake things up if they show up fully loaded. They have a throw triple axel in their free skate and the consistency is improving so that will be a key element if they hope to knock one of the top three teams off of the podium.
Speaking of wildcards, Mary Beth Marley & Rockne Brubaker, most of us have yet to even see them compete. They put up a strong score internationally at Nesquik Cup that ranks them 5th overall in terms of US pair team scores and they'll look to make a big splash in Greensboro in order to prove they are the real deal and set themselves up for a strong season in 2011-2012. 

Thursday, January 20, 2011

2011 US Figure Skating Championships: Senior Ice Dance Predictions and Fantasy Picks


My Predictions:
1) Meryl Davis & Charlie White
2) Madison Chock & Greg Zuerlein
3) Maia Shibutani & Alex Shibutani
4) Madison Hubbell & Keiffer Hubbell
5) Lynn Kriengkrairui & Logan Giulietti-Schmitt
6) Isabella Cannuscio & Ian Lorello

My Fantasy Picks:                                        SkateGate's Fantasy Pick:
A) Davis/White                                              A) Davis/White
B) Kriengkrairut/Giulietti-Schmitt                 B) Kriengkrairut/Giulietti-Schmitt
C) Hoptman/Filchenkov                                C) Hoptman/Filchenkov

If there is such a thing as a sure thing in figure skating these days, it is Meryl Davis and Charlie White. With Virtue and Moir out of the Grand Prix this season, they had not competition internationally and they should not be challenged at home this year at Nationals either. While the US has a strong field in the senior Ice Dance event, Davis and White would literally have to skip several elements in their programs to find themselves below the top spot of the podium. They have top scores of 68.64 in the short dance, 102.94 in the free dance, and an overall combined score of  171.58. These scores easily won them the Grand Prix Final gold for the second year in a row. While they do not have to worry about competition at Nationals, they can use the event as a chance to improve their technical levels and program components going into the World Championships where they are favored to win gold. 

Nipping at the heels of Davis and White are their training partners Madison Chock and Greg Zuerlein and Maia and Alex Shibutani. Both of these teams are relatively young and train under Marina Zoueva and Igor Shpilband. Chock and Zuerlein are the 2009 Jr. National and World Champions and last year they debuted on the senior level with an impressive 5th place finish at Nationals. With a senior season under their belts, they looked poised to land in the number two spot in the US, though Maia and Alex Shibutani, the 2010 Jr. National Champions making their senior debut actually have put up higher scores on the Grand Prix.
Though the Shibutanis have put up slightly higher scores, particularly in the free dance, the teams are in a relative dead heat for the silver medal and I think that will be one of the most interesting battles of the event. I am torn because I love both teams so much and they bring very different things to the table. I don't think Chock and Zuerlein's short dance to Edith Piaf's waltzes suits them as well as it could. However, I love their free dance to Cabaret and it is just so quirky. They perform it so well and remind me of a young Joel Grey and Liza Minnelli. They definitely commit to the characters in a mature, yet whimsical way and because they are a Zoueva/Shpilband team, the technical content is obviously there. Their performances won them two bronze medals at their Grand Prix events this season.

I think the Shibutanis have a fantastic short dance and it is just so fluid and gorgeous. Part of that is that The Carousel Waltz is one of my favorite pieces of music on the planet, but they just perform it so incredibly well. They burst onto the senior Grand Prix circuit this year like seasoned professionals, winning two bronze medals in highly contested fields at both of their events. I think they were US bronze medal favorites going into this season, but after the scores they put up on the Grand Prix, they may just be favorites for silver in the minds of most.

While I and many other predict that these three Zoueva and Shpilband teams will sweep the podium, there are several other top teams just waiting to throw a wrench into that plan. Madison and Keiffer Hubbell had a disastrous short dance at Cup of China and though they came back with a stronger free, they still finished off of the podium. They had a much stronger start at Cup of Russia, but they withdrew due to illness, so they will have something to prove at nationals. If all goes according to plan, the Hubbells will make up the final warm up group with the three Zoueva/Shpilband teams, though I don't think they are at the same level as my perceived top three. Lynn Kriengkrairut and Logan Giulietti-Schmitt made a very strong showing at their lone Grand Prix event and actually scored higher than the Hubbells by about 10 points so we'll see if that was a precursor of things to come. Also, expect big things out of Isabella Cannuscio & Ian Lorello. Their overall score improved by about 15 points from their first Grand Prix to their second and if they can keep going, they'll be in the same score range as the the Hubbells and Kriengkrairut/Giulietti-Schmitt. Regardless of what happens, I am most looking forward to this event next weekend!

Wednesday, January 19, 2011

icenetwork.com: News

This is a nice piece on Evan Bates, the injured counterpart to US ice dancer Emily Samuelson. I cannot wait to see them back in action next season!

icenetwork.com: News

2011 US Figure Skating Championships: Junior and Novice Previews

Check out my friend's posts over at icemusings.blogspot.com for previews of the Junior and Novice competitions at the 2011 US Figure Skating Championships. I will be blogging sporadically about these events, but will mostly be focusing on the Senior competition. Check in with both of us throughout the next two weeks for full coverage of the 2011 Nationals in Greensboro!

http://icemusings.blogspot.com/2011/01/us-nationals-junior-ladies-preview.html
http://icemusings.blogspot.com/2011/01/us-nationals-junior-mens-preview.html
http://icemusings.blogspot.com/2011/01/us-nationals-novice-dance-preview.html
http://icemusings.blogspot.com/2011/01/us-nationals-novice-pairs-preview.html
http://icemusings.blogspot.com/2011/01/us-nationals-novice-ladies-preview.html
http://icemusings.blogspot.com/2011/01/us-nationals-novice-mens-preview.html